2019 Market Outlook

The Santa Claus rally arrived late this past year but finally came through in a big way and has carried forward into the New Year. Positive news, with a more dovish Fed and face-to-face talks with China on trade issues, has supported this recent rally. While this has raised [...]

Financial Trends|

Rollin’ with the Punches

S&P 500 Large Cap Index As noted in our communication on Friday, October 5th, we were worried volatility would pick up - quite the understatement! The S&P 500 (which is an index of US-based large-cap stocks) broke its short-term trend line, the 10-day moving average, last Friday. It has further [...]

Financial, Financial Trends|

Crude Oil Outlook Update

Lower for (even) longer In our January oil outlook update, our forecast for oil prices this year was adjusted down to $30~$50 from $40~$60, expecting the realignment of OPEC quota post Iran/Iraq production increases to normalize oil prices back to $80 range in 2018. OPEC inaction and weakening Chinese appetite [...]

Market Update|

Model Behavior

The Fed’s own risk models painted a contradictory picture by spiking up just before the FOMC meeting. As the Fed continues to avoid rate hikes by kicking the decision down to December or possibly 2016, the new hawkish voting members of FOMC will be put in a tough spot to [...]

Financial Trends|

GIPS Announcement

Syntal Capital Partners is proud to announce that our firm has been verified in our compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standard (GIPS®). The GIPS® Standards were created by the Chartered Financial Analyst Institute as a way to create a global standard for calculating and presenting performance. These standards were created to [...]

Financial Trends|

Noise Cancelling

Since unwinding the briefly held 1x long US and International equity market positions in June, we remained defensive through July. Our proprietary global risk signal has shown benign conditions since the Greek debt negotiations. Market volatility has also been kept at historical lows. In the short term, we expect volatility [...]

Market Update|

Colorado Springs Office

Syntal Capital Partners LLC is proud to announce that Robert J. Carlyon, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Compliance Officer at Syntal, will lead the Firm’s recent expansion in Colorado Springs, CO, as well as continue to provide executive operating expertise firm-wide. “Syntal Capital Partners is growing and we are bringing [...]


Crude Oil Outlook Update

Adjusting Our Outlook In response to the recent nuclear deal with Iran, we are adjusting our near term crude oil outlook from $50~$70 to $40~$60. The adjustment reflects approximately 1mmb/d of additional supply coming online from Iran in the next couple of years. US rig count has found a floor [...]

Financial Trends|