Lower for (even) longer In our January oil outlook update, our forecast for oil prices this year was adjusted down to $30~$50 from $40~$60, expecting the realignment of OPEC quota post Iran/Iraq production increases to normalize oil prices back to $80 range in 2018. OPEC inaction and weakening Chinese appetite were key factors behind the [...]
The Fed’s own risk models painted a contradictory picture by spiking up just before the FOMC meeting. As the Fed continues to avoid rate hikes by kicking the decision down to December or possibly 2016, the new hawkish voting members of FOMC will be put in a tough spot to fight consensus. While the new [...]
Syntal Capital Partners is proud to announce that our firm has been verified in our compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standard (GIPS®). The GIPS® Standards were created by the Chartered Financial Analyst Institute as a way to create a global standard for calculating and presenting performance. These standards were created to give investors confidence that a [...]
Since unwinding the briefly held 1x long US and International equity market positions in June, we remained defensive through July. Our proprietary global risk signal has shown benign conditions since the Greek debt negotiations. Market volatility has also been kept at historical lows. In the short term, we expect volatility to normalize with the risk [...]
Syntal Capital Partners LLC is proud to announce that Robert J. Carlyon, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Compliance Officer at Syntal, will lead the Firm’s recent expansion in Colorado Springs, CO, as well as continue to provide executive operating expertise firm-wide. “Syntal Capital Partners is growing and we are bringing the very best wealth management [...]
Adjusting Our Outlook In response to the recent nuclear deal with Iran, we are adjusting our near term crude oil outlook from $50~$70 to $40~$60. The adjustment reflects approximately 1mmb/d of additional supply coming online from Iran in the next couple of years. US rig count has found a floor while production settled at a [...]